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Q: Why did the police officer go to the baseball game? A: Someone stole second base. Are the Bulls stealth tanking?
Cannot imagine other reasonable explanation to MCW, Rondo, Wade in a pace and space system such as Hoiberg's. Does the 76ers performance on Wednesday change your opinion on how many games they may win this season?
No, I think that a close loss at home to what should be a playoff team is pretty much in line with them winning around 25 games. What are your thoughts on Walton having Ingram initiate the 2nd unit's offense as a de facto point guard?
I'm a bit skeptical of Ingram's potential as a creator, but I think it makes sense to push him to grow his game this season. In the short term, probably not that much since they've been a very good offensive team in the regular season.
In the long term, yes, since he's so much younger than DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry. If there was one untracked stat that you could get data on, what would it be and why?
In other words, what is the most interesting or most important thing that is not captured by modern analytics data in your opinion? SportVU captures so much that a lot of my answers as far as what's publicly available -- a lot of spacing stuff, basically -- is available to enterprising teams.
Going beyond that, maybe something to do with players' physiological states? I think Gordon's got a much better shot of developing into an average or better offensive player, particularly if he plays his best position power forward.
Is Dwayne Wade's recent hot 3-point shooting stretch dating back from last season's playoffs to yesterday's game any indication he might have developed a decent 3-point shot?
Or is it just fool's gold? As I said on today's TrueHoop pod out soon! Tom Haberstroh noted on Twitter yesterday that Wade is now of between the postseason, preseason and the season opener.
That's still not exactly a robust schedule but it is starting to suggest some kind of real change and not entirely a fluke.
Why do you think Mirotic keeps getting criticized over his defense? He isn't a defensive juggernaut by any means, but I saw him yesterday against the Celtics and he held his ground when they were attacking him one on one.
I think it has mostly to do with where he's from, what he looks like and his style of play on offense. Here's a deep cut: why can't Dorell Wright stick on an NBA roster?
I've thought the Cavs could use him since Lebron came back and believed he could challenge for rotation minutes with the Clippers.
Over the last 5 seasons he has a positive BPM, a league average PER, about 0. Wesley Johnson and Mbah a Moute are far inferior in all of these advanced stats.
Is Wright a bad locker-room guy or teammate? I think I remember hearing some stories describing his enigmatic personality.
Thanks for still continuing to do these chats! I don't think that's it. Never heard about any issues with Wright in the Portland locker room -- in fact, if I recall correctly, he was praised for staying ready when he was out of the rotation in I think the biggest reason for the discrepancy is that coaches and scouts are less likely to trust 3-point specialists than metrics that value them for floor spacing.
What do you think about Satoransky? Seems to me the Wizards could use a player with his frame and skillset, but in the first game of the season he appeared to be behind Burke in the rotation.
I think it's less surprising he's behind Burke than Marcus Thornton at shooting guard. Thornton looked to be buying in defensively from what I saw last night, but that's never going to be a strength for him and it could be for Satoransky.
I wouldn't overreact to his poor shooting. He's not going to shoot 15 percent for a full season. But I do think we're seeing an extreme version of my concern that his individual inefficiency would cancel out a lot of the good things Turner does as a playmaker and improved defender.
Does your projection system weight the latter part of the season more when attempting to project into the future? Seems like people always cherry pick when it comes to pointing out a great second half or x number of games.
Is there any predictive power there or does it not matter when you control for other variables? What I've found repeatedly is that looking at the full season has more predictive power than any individual segment of it.
So that is not considered. I was surprised by the Twitter outcry over this move. Goodwin is still young and has athletic potential but he hasn't really developed his tools at all in three NBA seasons.
Unless I had good reason to believe that being waived was a wake-up call that was going to change his practice habits, I'd pass. Convince me of a single reason why Minnesota keeping Payne -- who they are reportedly declining the option on -- over waiver claiming R.
Hunter wasn't inexcusable. There are surely teams out there that simply don't believe Hunter is an NBA player, which is their prerogative.
But keeping Payne when he's almost certain not to return next season does not seem to make much sense.
It seems that coaches are always praised the most when they get a good result with what seems to be a not really talented team.
Is there a way to assess if good coaches are more valuable in win shares, maybe? I suppose, like anything else, there's probably an element of diminishing marginal returns.
The better the players, the less a coach can do to help them exceed their typical performance. But quantifying that is complex.
I'm nervous about Joe Williams and the Utah defense's penchant for interceptions. It does seem like the weakness of the Utah defense big plays in the pass game lines up well with what the Huskies have done best this season with Jake Browning finding John Ross, Dante Pettis and other targets, but that style could be a bit boom and bust for a favorite.
Does that just tell us that their bench was that bad? There's a lot of randomness in plus-minus data from game to game, but in this case the process seemed to match the results.
The reserve-heavy units struggled badly. Assuming good health as a constant, how would that impact your season projection for the Bulls?
That would improve their projection by about two wins as compared to what SCHOENE projects from them, including Wade turning 2-point attempts into 3s.
Sam Hinkie got 3 EoTY votes last year despite being fired at the time of voting. No reason not to follow that precedent and vote for him this year also, right?
It'd be interesting to see what the league office did with that. I can't imagine it would be allowed. Do you foresee the league ever considering a hard cap like he NFL?
It seems like there would be so much more parity if teams couldn't go over say million dollars. The league would love to do it. The players would not, and I don't see it ever being enough of an issue that the league would sacrifice the other elements necessary specifically the BRI split of revenues to get a hard cap.
It also would only really promote parity if it came with no restrictions on individual salaries. It's also important to note the unintended consequences of making it a lot more difficult for teams to retain role players.
A hard cap sounds a lot more fun until your team is letting your favorite player go because he's gotten a bit too expensive.
The current salary-cap rules facilitate continuity if the team and the player want it. I don't think there's going to be much of a distinction between their roles on a game-to-game basis after Derrick Favors returns possibly as soon as tonight.
May depend on matchups and how each player is playing. What do you think of Terry Rozier's future? Starter or backup?
Could he get legit rotation minutes this season or are the Celtics too deep with Smart returns? I don't think Rozier's really competing with Smart for minutes necessarily as much as with Jaylen Brown and Gerald Green.
My guess is Rozier and Smart will play together a lot. He's shown dramatic improvement but I don't see him developing into a starter on a team as good as the Celtics are likely to remain.
Do you think it's safe to get a Mozgov jersey since he signed a four-year deal? I got burned last year when I bought a Hibbert jersey and then he skipped town.
I like centers. I don't know that there's going to be a lot of teams dying to trade for him as he starts to age, so yeah, I think you're safe in terms of him being on the Lakers.